Posts Tagged ‘lance fulford’

Attending the International Federation of Real Estate (FIABCI) Meetings

Tuesday, September 28th, 2010

The International Real Estate Federation (FIABCI) just held its Fall Business Meetings in Seattle and I attended as San Francisco’s Local Council President. The meeting was well attended with approximately one hundred attendees from across the globe.

FIABCI Fall 2010 Business Meeting

The meeting started with a cocktail party at the Columbia Tower Club atop Seattle’s tallest high-rise with amazing views of the city and surrounding landscape. The weather was great and the sunset dramatic.

Saturday was jam packed with a morning general meeting featuring special guests: Nikolai N. Vinogradov, Deputy Consul General of Russia; Dean LaPointe (Canada), FIABCI President for the Americas; and Bill Stafford, President of the Seattle Trade Development Alliance.

Danielle Grossenbacher, President Elect FIABCI-USA and Lance Fulford

The day continued with special panel sessions dedicated to: Asian Real Estate Markets; International Real Estate Market Risks; and Real Estate Technology. A highlight was the general marketing session where all attendees reported on their local market.

These international subjects and contacts are critical for our market here in San Francisco. We’re such an international city and the trends and impact of decisions and movements in other locations around the world do have a ripple effect here in San Francisco. The Vancouver B.C. market appears to be in much the same condition as our local market with single family homes under $1.5mil very strong and the market over $2mil weak. Fortunately, our $2mil and over market is stable in some specific neighborhoods so there is some difference and stratification.

Andrew Chan, Maria Davies and Dean LaPointe at the FIABCI Seattle Meetings

I also made contact with an international operation that is working with high wealth individuals to spread risk and liability by operating in Monaco, Hong Kong, Dubai and Singapore yet purchasing distressed luxury property for their clients here in the U.S. A very creative concept. There are many more highlights which I’m happy to share. If  you have a question about a specific market and how it relates to our local market leave a question for me in the comment section.

Sunset over Seattle

All the Best,

Lance

$2million Plus Home Inventory Increases in San Francisco Central Neighborhoods

Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

Over the past 2 months, the inventory of $2mil+ homes in the central District 5 (Noe Valley, Dolores Heights, et. al.) has grown to a current total of 31 homes. These were the folks who watched the Spring market ‘spring’ to life and thought ‘ah ha’ now is the time to ‘get out’. But at the same time, buyers began pulling back. The month of July is on target to be the third month in a row with a 50% drop from the month prior in the number of homes that have sold.

Tuesday a contract was accepted for the house at 1130 Cole Street. This is the first home in this upper end category to go into contract in the month of July. It is a great house but will probably be the most expensive ‘non-view’ home sold in District 5. The buyer is a former San Franciscan moving back to the City and has yet to do inspections. Since the house is ‘new’ by all accounts, the inspection should go fairly well.

There are signs that the market is coming back to life. More showings are being booked and Tim Murray, Regional Manager for Alain Pinel Realtors, reports this to be the busiest summer for the San Francisco office to date.

All the Best,

Lance

San Francisco's Noe Valley Luxury Homes Show Demand with Multiple Offers

Monday, March 1st, 2010

418 Liberty Street, San Francisco

The house at 418 Liberty in the desirable Dolores Heights neighborhood hit the market at $2,395,000 and really needs a full interior remodel but due to the desirability of the location, views, overall size and relatively good condition, it garnered 5 offers (4 were all cash, I was told).

Noe Valley’s location, weather and overall desirability continue to push it to the top of the City’s list for home buyers. The buyers I’m encountering in the $2million+ price range are comprised of a majority of folks from out of the area. I would say North side families head the list followed by folks moving into San Francisco for the first time or returning.

If you’re not familiar with Noe Valley, check it out on Nabewise. com or better yet spend an afternoon along 24th Street or at one of the local parks. And if you’d like some first hand information, give me a call.

All the Best,

Lance

415-793-6140

Sunday Open House Attendance Poll: Print Advertising Appears Dead

Monday, March 1st, 2010

I polled all attendees to my open house today and the results are continuing to run fairly consistently: print advertising appears dead. I did have one person in two weeks say they saw the newspaper ad but the largest numbers are coming in with their agents or told by their agents (30%); online ads (25%); signs (25%); neighbors (10%) and then those invited by me (10%).

This continually speaks to how the public receives and uses information and where sellers should make sure they’re present. The old school history in me pulls me toward print but even when you pick up one of the free-bees like ‘The Real Estate Times of San Francisco’ it’s a ghost of what it was in its hey-day.

So the next time you’re searching for real estate, I know you’ll start ‘on-line’….just like me.

All the Best,

Lance

415-793-6140

Off Market Sales "Gimick"…Is There Value for a Buyer?

Friday, February 26th, 2010

I recently met with two separate couples in the throes of the buying process. One had called me directly regarding a listing and another came into one of my open homes. Both cases were somewhat different, however in conversation both were in the process of interviewing agents. The one point they both independently brought up and wanted advice about was the ‘off market’ sales pitch they had heard from some other real estate agents they had spoken with.

Let’s look at the reality where ‘off market’ sales might occur. First, if the buyer has a very specific location in mind and would pay above current value and connect with ‘the’ agent who happens to have a client in that location. In this one scenario, you can see the two biggest variables…paying above market price and then through chance for most buyers finding the one agent who would have a connection in that location. Agents who promise off market deals may know of listings they have coming up but they don’t know ‘if’ or ‘how’ they will work for a specific buyer they just met.

The second case is one in which a seller is ‘in trouble’ and needs to sell and again the biggest variable is the specific agent or connection. Is the agent who’s promising you this ‘un-marketed’ inventory really going to deliver?

In a market such as San Francisco, where there is limited supply the sellers ‘always’ control the market. Yes, even now. I have spoken to sellers who had their homes on the market last year when the uncertainty was great enough that they wanted to sell. But last year, buyers for the most part weren’t biting (even though that was the time they should have). Now the economy has improved just enough that these folks are just ’sitting tight’..hence our current situation of lower than expected inventory.

It is human nature to want to believe we’re going to get in on the one deal that no one else will know about. The reality is, however, that situation won’t occur and its comparable to saving and becoming wealthy. It’s the consistent smart decisions with trustworthy advisors that get you to the finish line. One of my favorite lines comes from ‘Rich Dad, Poor Dad’ where the author says the two advisors he pays without question are his real estate agent and his attorney because they both make him many more times than they cost. And therein lies the hollowness of the ‘hook’ of ‘off market sales’, the real deals will go to those agents’ best and most loyal clients first. They won’t go to someone they just met.

All the Best,

Lance

415-793-6140

San Franciscso Sunday Open Home Attendance Poll Results

Monday, February 22nd, 2010

The Living Room of 622 27th Street

Sunday I was holding my listing at 622 27th Street open between 1pm and 4pm while a steady rain covered the City and the attendance was brisk…to my surprise. This home is listed at $2.229million and is a gorgeous example of contemporary architecture with downtown views. In fact, every Sunday for the last 6 that I’ve been open have all be very well attended. Today with attendance high despite the rain I was convinced I was seeing a strong market in action.

The Kitchen at 70 Valley Street

My business partner, Dan Marshall, was at our new listing at 70 Valley Street, a newly completed townhouse listed at $1.25million. He reported high attendance as well. He also told me he spoke to a woman who said she was looking for a home between $1.5million and $2million and that she couldn’t find anything. That price point has become the real sweet spot in Noe Valley/Eureka Valley and throughout most of the popular South-Central neighborhoods. Multiple offers are entering our real estate jargon again more and more regularly.

Today, Sunday, I conducted a poll of attendees on how they found my open house. The largest percentage, 40%, came in off of the signs I had placed in the neighborhood. The next highest number, 25%, were from the internet. So the two least expensive means of advertising brought in the highest number of attendees. As for quality of attendees, I’m sure the internet will be the winner. We have one of those circling the property at the moment so we’ll see how it ends up. I’ll keep you posted.

All the Best,

Lance

415-793-6140

Noe Valley Luxury Home Market Strengthens

Monday, February 15th, 2010

Days-on-Market and Percentage of Sales Price to Asking

Average Sales Price per Square Foot

The statistics for the 13 months ending in January show the luxury home market strengthening in Noe Valley. Days on market are down and the sales price to asking is up. The average price-per-square-foot has been holding steady so we’ll have to see what trend emerges when the numbers come out for February but from what I’m seeing on the street things are ‘holding their own’ currently. It wouldn’t surprise me to see a bit of an uptick in the price-per-square-foot based on the falling days on market.

I’ll keep you posted.

All the Best,

Lance

415-793-6140

Inventory and Sales for San Francisco Luxury Condos Fall

Sunday, February 14th, 2010

San Francisco Luxury Condos $1mil-$1.5mil as of January 2010

The condo market has tightened with falling inventory. I’m even reading about the tightening inventory level on the front page of the latest San Francisco Business Times that spoke about developers bringing to market units they had previously mothballed as rentals. Our statistics focus on that segment of the luxury market from $1million to $1.5million which encompasses a lot of the condo market. Right now there is very little in this price range in the Noe Valley/Castro/Upper Market neighborhoods and what there is available seems to be moving fairly quickly.

Drop me a line if you have questions about this segment of the market at my email, lfulford@apr.com .

All the Best,

Lance

415-793-6140

January 2010 Statistics for San Francisco Luxury Homes

Friday, February 12th, 2010

San Francisco Inventory and Sales of Homes Above $1.5 mil thru January 2010

The January statistics are in. I believe this provides a more thorough picture of the market and more solid indices of any trends. Right now for homes at or above $1.5 million, the inventory shows a steady increase from December which was expected as a number of properties were pulled from the market in December for the holidays and sales are down from December which is not surprising as the December rush went into contract in November.

Currently, the market seems active with a number of properties across the price spectrum going into contract. I’m sure this year will be month-by-month rather than anything smooth or long term. The current trend on the street is looking promising though.

All the Best,

Lance

Pacific Heights Jackson Street Penthouse Condo

Monday, February 8th, 2010

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4UDwomeRGQ]

Jackson Street near Lafayette Park is one of the most picturesque in the City with some of the most attractive period architecture. We’ve just listed the penthouse unit in a very attractive building built in 1917. I’ve produced a short video with some highlights of the unit…the grand living room and dining room with a wall of windows facing South making it sunny, warm and full of light.

I’ll be posting the latest statistics shortly as the numbers for January have just been tabulated and we’ll be able to get a better picture of what’s going on than with the end-of-December numbers that I believe are skewed a bit due to the holidays.

All the Best,

Lance