San Francisco’s multi-unit investment property market is benefiting from a ‘perfect’ recovery scenario. National conditions are keeping interest rates low yet our indefatigable ‘future-is-now’ economy based on high tech, bio-tech, corporate headquarters, green technology, and general innovative culture is pushing rents up at a fairly quick pace. Multi-unit buildings are being snapped up as quickly as they hit the market. Countywide there is now a 3 month supply but in hot neighborhoods like Pacific Heights and the Marina there is a ‘zero’ month supply!
In the other ‘hot’ neighborhoods of Noe Valley, the Castro, Mission Dolores and Duboce Park the supply is showing 1.7 months supply as of the end of May. My guess is in this environment it is going down quickly. Big residential investors are snapping up everything they can get their hands on. One of the largest investors – as reported by The San Francisco Business Times - picked up two cherry properties by purchasing the delinquent notes from UBS out of the failed Lembi family portfolio. One was the Park Laneat 11oo Sacramento Street on Nob Hill which is described as the finest pre-war full service residential apartment building on the West Coast.
Our listing at 1901 Pacific Avenue went into contract within the first 4 days with an all cash offer from international buyers. Even the local players were stunned as to how quickly it went as they’ve been calling and circling in the last 3 days as they’ve realized they moved too slowly. One of the dynamics holding back some local players is the current lending restrictions in the US on these types of properties. International buyers have more leverage as they get a bump on the exchange rate and can often times use loans with easier terms from their own countries to purchase here.
I believe we’re seeing predictions come true in front of our eyes on several levels: 1. San Francisco’s real estate market has bounced back quicker and probably stronger than most of the best forecasts; 2. Our tech driven economy is where the jobs of the future (the future is ‘now’) are as the tech companies are hiring and sitting on mountains of cash (witness all the new social media companies moving into San Francisco, Apple building a completely new corporate campus as well as SalesForce.com, etc.); 3. interest rates are low and will stay that way due to national trends and money moving from other world centers into US bonds due to the faltering economies of Europe; 4. after several years of San Francisco property prices falling up to 20% along with our exchange rate we look like a bargain for an international city center on the Pacific Rim. Next up, watch for San Francisco to move into a higher international profile as a destination for international purchases. This will be a dual edged sword for those of us who live here.
